… Some express conflicting feelings about the future: “I feel optimistic in the short term but in the long term I think AI will end up doing everything and make me and many others irrelevant.” Others emphasize genuine uncertainty, saying only that it was “hard to say” what their roles might look like… …
… Since then, a new entrant has appeared every few months—FutureHouse’s Kosmos , the Autoscience Institute’s Carl , the Simons Foundation’s Denario project, among others—each promising some version of end-to-end autonomous research. …
… But if they approach this threshold, the results of Project Fetch suggest that we will need to monitor AI models' facility for robotics and other hardware as an area in which there might be abrupt improvement. Much uncertainty remains. …
… This makes some economic sense: if the time required to do one’s tasks is shrinking quickly, there may be more uncertainty about the future viability of the role. …
… Project Glasswing: An initial update An early update on what we've learned from Project Glasswing.
… Project Glasswing: An initial update An early update on what we've learned from Project Glasswing.
… Our experience is that even predicting the behavior and properties of AI systems in the near future is very difficult. Making a priori predictions about the safety of future systems seems even harder. …