… More capable AI brings productivity benefits, but it also raises questions about maintaining technical expertise, preserving meaningful collaboration, and preparing for an uncertain future that may require new approaches to learning, mentorship, and career development in an AI-augmented workplace. …
… I even had it make a plot with uncertainty bands which looked great: Unfortunately, Claude was basically faking the whole plot. I had told it to make an uncertainty band with hard, jet, and soft uncertainties using profile variations the standard thing . …
… This is an important area for future research since wider deployment of AI-run business would create higher stakes for similar mishaps. …
… Much uncertainty remains. …
… This makes some economic sense: if the time required to do one’s tasks is shrinking quickly, there may be more uncertainty about the future viability of the role. …
… Second, as users returned from the holiday break, the projects they brought to Claude Code may have shifted from hobby projects to more tightly circumscribed work tasks. …
… Understanding this is an important topic for future work. …
… But this isn’t a prediction of the future, since we don’t take into account the rate of adoption or the larger productivity effects that would come from much more capable AI systems. …
… AI is a dual-use technology Frontier AI will shape the future military balance. …